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Orange County Bancorp, Inc.
How the company evolved, year by year. Revenue and debt come from the annual reports — for most companies, the 10-K filings with the SEC since 2009; dividends from the payments themselves.
The bars are a balance on the closing date; the lines are what happened during the year. Revenue above equity is ordinary, not an anomaly — it means the company turns its capital over more than once a year.
Major managers that reported this stock in their latest 13F.
None of the investors we track reported a position in OBT.
▲ +93.4% over 5Y.
today you would have $2,386.20▲ +138.6%
Dividends reinvested, splits accounted for. Past prices say what happened, not what will.
The last 6 closed years. Each multiple uses that year’s closing price and that year’s reported numbers — not today’s. The range is set by the annual reports on record.
| Indicator | Median | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year-end price | $28.55 | $27.78 | $30.12 | $23.29 | $20.10 | $13.63 | |
| P/E | 10.6x | 8.6x | 11.2x | 11.5x | 10.8x | 9.4x | 10.5x |
| P/S | 3.0x | 3.0x | 2.9x | 3.3x | 2.9x | 3.1x | 2.0x |
| P/B | 1.5x | 1.3x |
Seven formulas applied to what the company reported. None of them predicts a price — each answers what the stock would be worth if its assumption held. The assumption is printed next to every number, because it is the assumption that produces the result.
Square root of 22.5 × earnings × book value — the two ceilings Graham proposed. Blind to intangibles, so it undervalues software and brands.
Earnings growing 20.8% a year plus a 1.9% dividend — Lynch adds the yield to the growth rate, so a payer is not priced like a company that returns nothing. Growth capped at 25%.
Median P/E of 13.4 among peers in the sector.
Median P/E of 10.6 across the years on record for this company itself. Answers whether it is cheap against its own past, which a whole sector trading low cannot flatter.
Cash flow growing 15.0% a year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, then 2.5% forever.
This formula has no meaning here — usually a loss, negative cash flow, or a missing input.
Companies of similar size in Financial Services, for comparison. The columns are the same ones above, in the same order.
| Stock | Price | P/E | P/B | Dividend yield | ROE | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBAMPrivate Bancorp of America, Inc. | $88.70 | 11.5x | 1.8x | — | 16.83% | $507.87M |
| NWAXNew America Acquisition I Corp. | $10.19 | — | 1698.3x | — | — | $507.46M |
| GCGRGeneral Catalyst Global Resilience Merger Corp. | $10.18 | — | — | — | — | $514.71M |
| AIIAmerican Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. |
Orange County Bancorp, Inc., a bank holding company, through its subsidiaries, provides commercial and consumer banking products and services. The company operates in Business Banking, Private Banking, and Trust & Wealth Management segments. It accepts various deposits, including interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing demand accounts, money market deposit accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit. The company also offers commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate construction loans, residential real estate loans, home equity loans, and consumer loans. In addition, it provides traditional trust and administration, asset management, financial planning, and wealth management services; and financial products, including checking, savings, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, and treasury management services. The company offers its products to small businesses, middle-market enterprises, local municipal governments, and individuals, as well as operate full-service branches and loan production office in Orange, Westchester, Rockland, and Bronx counties in New York. Orange County Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Middletown, New York.
Company description provided by Yahoo Finance.
| 1.7x |
| 2.1x |
| 1.9x |
| 1.2x |
| 0.9x |
| EPS | $3.33 | $2.47 | $2.62 | $2.17 | $2.14 | $1.30 |
| Dividend yield | 1.89% | 2.00% | 1.69% | 1.53% | 1.78% | 1.99% | 2.94% |
| Payout | 18.86% | 17.12% | 19.03% | 17.56% | 19.17% | 18.69% | 30.89% |
| Profit margin | 28.00% | 32.71% | 25.88% | 28.95% | 27.04% | 29.34% | 19.41% |
| ROE | 14.83% | 14.63% | 15.03% | 17.82% | 17.64% | 11.64% | 8.62% |
Median, not average: a single year of near-zero profit produces a P/E of 400 and would drag an average on its own. P/E years above 200x are left out, the same cut the fair price uses — so this median matches the “its own history” method below. Price and EPS have no median: they are series that grow.
Dividend growing 3.3% a year against a 7.0% required return, taken from the stock’s beta. The only method anchored on what the company pays rather than what it reports.
Not the average of the seven numbers above. Four of the seven start from the same earnings per share — Graham, Lynch, sector multiples and its own history — so averaging all seven would let one input count four times and drown out the others. Instead each family produces one number, and the fair price is the average of the families that answered. A family with two working formulas contributes their average, not two votes.
6 methods answered, across 3 families.
Every formula reads the same reported statements and they can be wrong together. The margin is room for that.
+65.4% from the average.
These are models, not forecasts, and not investment advice. Change one assumption and the number changes with it — that is a property of valuation, not a defect of this page.
| $26.32 |
| 6.2x |
| 1.4x |
| — |
| 26.24% |
| $515.7M |
| BSRRSierra Bancorp | $40.01 | 11.8x | 1.4x | 2.70% | 12.46% | $518.67M |
| MEVOM Evo Global Acquisition Corp II | $10.01 | — | — | — | — | $500.5M |