ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) is listed on NYSE and classified in Integrated Freight & Logistics, part of the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Shanghai, China and has 23,888 employees. The company is worth $15B and trades at 11.0x its earnings of the last twelve months; the median for its sector is 24.3x. Revenue was $7.02B in fiscal 2025, up 15.7% from the year before. Net income was $1.3B. The share price is 23.4% below its 52-week high of $26.20. It pays a dividend yielding 3.44%. 5 of the 38 superinvestors we track held it at the end of Q2 2026. The largest position belongs to Ken Griffin (Citadel Advisors), at $24.54M. In that quarter, 3 of them opened or added to the position and 2 reduced it. No open-market insider trades in it were filed over the last 30 days.
Written from the data on this page: SEC filings (13F, Form 4, annual reports) and market prices.
Year by year, from the annual reports; dividends from the payments themselves.
Bars are year-end balances; lines are what happened during the year.
Major managers that reported this stock in their latest 13F.
▼ -36.2% over 5Y.
today you would have $763.82▼ -23.6%
Dividends reinvested, splits accounted for. Past prices say what happened, not what will.
The last 10 closed years, each at that year’s closing price and reported numbers.
| Indicator | Median | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year-end price | $20.89 | $19.55 | $21.28 | $26.87 | $28.22 | $29.16 | $23.35 | $15.83 | $15.85 | $12.07 | |
| P/E | 22.3x | 13.1x | 13.3x | 14.3x | 22.2x | 31.0x | 35.1x | 22.5x | 18.6x | 23.3x | 28.7x |
| P/S | 4.8x |
Seven formulas applied to the reported numbers, each with its assumption next to the result. None of them predicts a price.
Square root of 22.5 × earnings × book value. Blind to intangibles, so it undervalues software and brands.
Earnings growing 14.0% a year plus a 3.4% dividend yield. Growth capped at 25%.
Median P/E of 24.3 among peers in the sector.
Median P/E of 22.3 across this company’s own years on record.
Cash flow growing 14.0% a year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, then 2.5% forever.
Sector median of 13.2x operating profit, less net debt. Banks have no EBITDA.
Dividend growing 7.5% a year against a 9.0% required return, from the stock’s beta.
Companies of similar size in Industrials, for comparison. The columns are the same ones above, in the same order.
| Stock | Price | P/E | P/B | Dividend yield | ROE | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALLEAllegion plc | $176.52 | 23.1x | 7.1x | 1.25% | 33.73% | $15.01B |
| SWKStanley Black & Decker Inc | $98.97 | 23.3x | 1.7x | 3.40% | 6.89% | $14.95B |
| RBCRBC Bearings INC | $478.03 | 47.2x | 4.4x | 0.00% | 9.75% | $15.13B |
| ULSUL Solutions Inc. | $73.63 |
| 2.4x |
| 2.6x |
| 3.2x |
| 4.2x |
| 4.8x |
| 6.3x |
| 5.7x |
| 4.9x |
| 5.7x |
| 5.4x |
| P/B | 2.7x | 1.7x | 1.8x | 2.0x | 2.8x | 3.0x | 3.2x | 3.3x | 2.5x | 3.5x | 2.7x |
| EPS | $1.60 | $1.47 | $1.49 | $1.21 | $0.91 | $0.83 | $1.04 | $0.85 | $0.68 | $0.42 |
| Dividend yield | 1.15% | 1.68% | 4.96% | 1.74% | 0.93% | 0.89% | 1.03% | 1.03% | 1.26% | — | — |
| Payout | 24.18% | 21.87% | 65.99% | 24.83% | 20.66% | 27.47% | 36.14% | 23.08% | 23.53% | — | — |
| Profit margin | 20.45% | 18.49% | 19.91% | 22.77% | 19.25% | 15.64% | 17.10% | 25.66% | 24.90% | 24.19% | 20.98% |
| ROE | 13.24% | 13.68% | 14.21% | 14.63% | 12.60% | 9.78% | 8.80% | 14.81% | 12.81% | 14.74% | 10.40% |
Median of the years shown; P/E years above 200x are left out.
The average of the method families that answered, not of the seven numbers: four of the seven start from the same earnings per share.
7 methods answered, across 4 families.
Room for errors in the reported numbers.
+63.9% from the average.
Models, not forecasts, and not investment advice. How each formula works →
| 29.9x |
| 9.3x |
| 0.79% |
| 38.71% |
| $14.87B |
| MASMasco Corp | $78.05 | 18.0x | — | 1.64% | 5862.50% | $15.39B |
| CRSCarpenter Technology Corp | $292.26 | 35.0x | 6.5x | 0.27% | 25.75% | $14.48B |